Well, you could see this coming up 5th Avenue. Oliver Blanchard, chief economist at the IMF (motto Austerity Will Cure What Ails Ya! ) has a new paper out - Growth Forecast Errors and Fiscal Multiplier s - which basically sez. "We Wuz Wrong" . Huh? Well, if you recall the serious suffering going on in Europe over the last few years (Ireland, Greece, Spain, Portugal), the main thrust has been something along the lines of "Your economy is slowing down, so you need to enact serious budget cuts" . In the immortal words of Dalton, Pain Don't Hurt . (You have seen Road House, right? Greatest movie ever ?) The problem with this math as virtually everyone not in Germany, Britain, or the IMF has been pointing out is that If - Your economy is shrinking, and - You cut government spending, and - You raise taxes then - Your economy shrinks even more, and - More people end up out of jobs, and ...